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Traffic Prediction Tool
1. Motorists can look forward to more
reliable traffic advisory information in the future, thanks to the Traffic
Prediction Tool (TPT). TPT is a technological tool currently used by the Land
Transport Authority (LTA) to anticipate and manage traffic flow so as to
minimise traffic congestion.
2. The LTA has been working closely
with IBM since 2006 to develop the TPT for local conditions. A patent-pending
technology, the TPT can currently achieve up to 85% accuracy in predicting
traffic volume and speed 10 minutes ahead, based on the work done in an earlier
phase involving roads in the Central Business District from December 2006 to
April 2007.
3. TPT predicts traffic speeds and
flow using advanced statistical techniques. It relies on both real-time and
historical data to generate its predictions.
4. Presently, data on the traffic
volume and speed is collected and fed to the TPT through other Intelligent
Transport Systems such as the EMAS, GLIDE, J- Eyes and Traffic Scan.
5. Phase 1 of TPT has already been
completed. Subsequent phases will involve more research and development to
improve TPT's prediction, particularly for roads where coverage by sensors are
less comprehensive, and hence, traffic data is still being obtained.
6. The TPT is part of LTA's wider
effort to employ innovation not just to improve its traffic management
capabilities but also to enhance its business processes and customer
satisfaction.
Traffic Information Platform
7. Another innovation that LTA
initiated is the Traffic Information Platform (TRIP). Developed in collaboration
with Quantum Inventions Pte Ltd (QI), TRIP facilitates dynamic navigation
applications which enable motorists to receive real-time traffic information via
portable/in-vehicle navigation devices or mobile phones, in addition to the
internet.
8. Based on motorists' travel
preferences, these applications will guide them on the most appropriate routes
as they travel on the road. Some of these preferences include advice on faster
or cheaper routes. The dynamic navigation applications were recently featured
during the international Intelligent Transport Systems Asia Pacific Forum held
at Suntec City in July this year. LTA & QI are working together to offer
commercial services by the end of the year.
Glossary of Terms:
Expressway Monitoring and Advisory System (EMAS) -
Performs live video traffic surveillance, incident detection and traffic
advisory functions. It can prompt activation of vehicle recovery crews and other
emergency response agencies such as Traffic Police. It also informs motorists of
current traffic conditions through strategically placed electronic signboards
and electronic broadcasts.
Green Link Determining System (GLIDE) - Co-ordinates
and optimises the traffic light signals to minimise delay to motorists at
signalised junctions.
Junction Electronic Eyes (J-eyes) - A system of
surveillance cameras at signalised junctions to help traffic operators spot and
rectify causes of traffic congestion.
Enhanced TrafficScan - A system that collects traffic
speeds on major arterial roads through the use of GPS-equipped taxis.
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